The results provided below include simulations based on the 2015 model. A separate page accessed through a link below provides similar information from the 2012 model. Please review the “readme” page in each file for additional information.
Additional scenarios will be added shortly from analysis of regional agreements without the United States.
Low, central and high Baseline and TPP12 scenarios
By countries/regions: real income, exports, imports, outward FDI, inward FDI, GDP, factor rewards, prices
Download excel file: macro tables low-high 1feb16
By sectors: real exports, real imports, value added, employment, output (Baseline and TPP12)
Download excel file: sector tables base-tpp12 18feb16
Scenarios for decomposing TPP12 gains by liberalization measure
Real income, exports, imports, outward FDI, inward FDI, GDP, factor rewards, prices for 29 model regions
Download excel file: macro tables decomposition 7feb16
Scenarios for TPP12 gains with and without non-preferential liberalization
Real income, exports, imports, outward FDI, inward FDI, GDP, factor rewards, prices for 29 model regions
Download excel file: macro tables no spillover 17feb16
Scenarios for calculating a one-year delay in TPP12 implementation
Real income streams for TPP12 implemented in 2017 and in 2018 and related present value calculations
Download excel file: delay scenarios 25feb16
Tariffs under various scenarios
Tariffs by exporter-importer-product-year
Download Baseline excel file (12MB): Baseline-tariff-3feb16 *
Download TPP12C excel file (12MB): TPP12C-tariff-3feb16 *
Non-tariff barriers under various scenarios
Non-tariff barriers by exporter-importer-product-year
Download Baseline excel file (12MB): Baseline-NTB-3feb16 *
Download TPP12C excel file (12MB): TPP12C-NTB-3feb16 *
* File has been updated from earlier version; please compare the date with that of a file downloaded earlier.
Additional results from the 2015 model will be added here during February 2016. We appreciate your patience.